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Predictability: Some quick analysis reveals some predictable factors:
1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 9.72 10.22 12.23 12.81 12.82 14.03 16.40 19.18 20.97 24.25 Sales per share 0.85 0.98 1.17 1.29 1.35 1.53 1.71 1.86 2.19 2.53 Cash Flow Per Share 0.57 0.66 0.76 0.83 0.95 1.06 1.18 1.27 1.55 1.83 Earnings per share 0.10 0.12 0.14 0.15 0.16 0.18 0.20 0.24 0.34 0.36 Dividends Per share 0.57 0.32 0.41 0.44 0.46 0.55 0.55 0.66 1.01 0.98 Capital spending per share 2.64 2.84 3.14 3.59 4.36 5.15 6.37 6.31 6.77 7.89 Book Value per share 96.76 92.39 89.32 88.77 87.83 86.84 86.28 83.18 80.79 79.14 Common Shares Outs 20.5 15.3 14.7 15.7 18.9 17.7 23.4 24.1 20.8 19.5 Avg annual P/E Ratio 1.07 0.87 0.96 0.80 1.03 1.01 1.24 1.28 1.12 1.02 Relative P/E Ratio 0.90% 1.20% 1.30% 1.10% 0.90% 1.00% 0.70% 0.80% 1.10% 1.00% Average Annual Dividend Yield 940.4 944.1 1092.3 1137.0 1126.0 1218.3 1415.0 1595.7 1694.3 1918.8 Sales ($mill) 11.90% 12.30% 12.80% 13.30% 13.80% 13.90% 12.50% 12.60% 14.00% 13.60% Operating Margin 25.3 27.7 34.3 38.6 31.8 37.6 41.6 44.3 44.7 49.6 Depreciation 57.1 62.4 70.2 75.5 86.9 95.3 106.3 110.6 132.3 150.7 Net Profit 34.00% 30.00% 30.00% 28.00% 27.00% 27.00% 25.00% 28.60% 30.10% 26.40% Income Tax Rate 6.10% 6.60% 6.40% 6.60% 7.70% 7.80% 7.50% 6.90% 7.80% 7.90% Net Profit Margin 119.8 160.4 139.8 189.9 183.7 240.6 281.9 264.6 201.5 214.7 Working Capital 50.3 86.7 92.6 99.3 105.0 105.2 70.9 103.3 100.5 129.0 ($mill) 255.7 262.8 280.2 319.1 382.6 447.4 549.3 524.6 546.8 624.7 Shareholders Equity 18.90% 18.90% 19.50% 18.70% 18.40% 17.70% 17.50% 18.00% 20.80% 20.50% Return on Total Capital 22.30% 23.80% 25.10% 23.70% 22.70% 21.30% 19.40% 21.10% 24.20% 24.10% Return on Shareholders equity 18.50% 19.60% 20.60% 19.60% 19.10% 17.90% 16.10% 17.30% 19.40% 19.50% Retained to Com Equity 17% 17% 18% 17% 16% 16% 17% 18% 20% 19% Dividends to Net Profits
Sales per share - ever increasing
Cash Flow per share - ever increasing
Earnings per share - ever increasing EPS Analysis
Dividends Per Share - ever increasing Dividend History Here
Capital spending per share - ever increasing
Book value - same Book Value Analysis
Sales - ever increasing
Operating margins - consistent
Net profits - consistently increasing
Returns on Total Capital - consistently high
Returns on Shareholders Equity - consistently high
Dividends as a percentage of net profits - consistent Dividend Growth Model Here
As an investor looking for a "predictable" stream of earnings, Donaldson Company
fits the bill. Another interesting factor - the company was established in 1915 .
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